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Hire Dr. Emma H.

Canada

USD 150 /hr

Senior Quantitative Modeling Consultant | 20+ yrs in Biotech, Tox, & Health Data | Probabilistic & Bayesian Modeling

Profile Summary

PhD-trained quantitative modeler with extensive experience applying probabilistic and statistical methods to infectious disease, toxicology, food safety, and broader life sciences datasets. I specialize in quantitative risk assessment, Bayesian inference, probabilistic modeling, and uncertainty quantification to support data-driven decision-making in research, regulatory, and industrial contexts. My work bridges advanced quantitative methods with clear communication, translating complex analyses into actionable insights. I have extensive experience preparing research proposals, manuscripts, conference presentations, and regulatory reports. Key Expertise: • Probabilistic modeling & simulation • Quantitative risk assessment in food safety, toxicology, and biological systems • Bayesian and frequentist statistical analysis • Infectious disease modeling and outbreak analysis • Data visualization, interpretation, and reporting I help clients turn complex data into clear, defensible insights — whether for publication, regulatory submissions, internal research, or strategic decision-making. While my core experience is in biotech, health, and life sciences, I am also open to projects in related quantitative modeling or data science domains, leveraging my skills in probabilistic/statistical analysis and model interpretation.

Subject Matter Expertise

• ★ Data Analysis
• ★ Computer Simulation/Computational Modeling
• ★ Risk Assessment & Actuarial Science
• ☆ Computational Biology
• ☆ Microbiology
• ☆ Biostatistics
• ☆ Mathematical Biology
• ☆ Predictive Modeling & Analytics
• ☆ Data Exploration
• ☆ Data Visualization
• ☆ Machine Learning
• ☆ Statistics
• ☆ Applied Statistics
• ☆ Regression Analysis
• ☆ Bayesian Statistics
• ☆ Statistical Computing
• ☆ Trend Analysis
• ☆ Food Microbiology
• ☆ Food Safety
• ☆ Applied Mathematics
• ☆ Mathematical Models
• ☆ Stochastic Processes
• ☆ Decision Science
• ☆ R
• ☆ Public Health
• ☆ Pandemic Preparedness
• ☆ Emergency Preparedness
• ☆ Global Health
• ☆ Foodborne Disease

Services

• Writing

Writing Technical Writing, Copywriting, General Proofreading & Editing

Work Experience

VP, Modelling and Simulation

Risk Sciences International

November 2008 - Present

Education

Ph.D. Statistics and Modelling Science

University of Strathclyde, Scotland

July 1998 - July 2002

B.Sc. Microbiology

University of Leeds, UK

September 1995 - July 1998

Certifications

• PhD

  University of Strathclyde

  July 2002 - Present

Publications

JOURNAL ARTICLE

(2025). Use of probabilistic exposure models in the assessment of dietary exposure to chemicals . FOOD ADDITIVES AND CONTAMINANTS PART A-CHEMISTRY ANALYSIS CONTROL EXPOSURE & RISK ASSESSMENT.

(2024). Research gaps and priorities for quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) . RISK ANALYSIS.

(2021). Alternative approaches to the risk management of <i>Listeria</i> <i>monocytogenes</i> in low risk foods . FOOD CONTROL.

(2013). FDA-iRISK-A Comparative Risk Assessment System for Evaluating and Ranking Food-Hazard Pairs: Case Studies on Microbial Hazards . JOURNAL OF FOOD PROTECTION.

(2011). Application of Bayesian Techniques to Model the Burden of Human Salmonellosis Attributable to U.S. Food Commodities at the Point of Processing: Adaptation of a Danish Model . FOODBORNE PATHOGENS AND DISEASE.

(2010). Estimating removal rates of bacteria from poultry carcasses using two whole-carcass rinse volumes . INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FOOD MICROBIOLOGY.

(2009). Modeling the Public Health System Response to a Terrorist Event in the Food Supply . RISK ANALYSIS.

(2009). Development of a Risk-Ranking Framework to Evaluate Potential High-Threat Microorganisms, Toxins, and Chemicals in Food . JOURNAL OF FOOD SCIENCE.

(2008). Economics of reducing <i>Campylobacter</i> at different levels within the Belgian poultry meat . JOURNAL OF FOOD PROTECTION.

(2007). A quantitative assessment of the risks from illegally imported meat contaminated with foot and mouth disease virus to Great Britain (vol 27, pg 187, 2007) . RISK ANALYSIS.

(2007). A quantitative assessment of the risks from illegally imported meat contaminated with foot and mouth disease virus to Great Britain . RISK ANALYSIS.

(2001). A quantitative risk assessment for the occurrence of campylobacter in chickens at the point of slaughter . EPIDEMIOLOGY & INFECTION.